Declaration of Dependence by George Will
Declaration of Dependence
By George Will
Some mornings during the autumn of 1933, when the unemployment rate was 22 percent,
the president, before getting into his wheelchair, sat in bed, surrounded by economic
advisers, setting the price of gold. One morning he said he might raise it 21 cents: "It's a
lucky number because it's three times seven." His Treasury secretary wrote that if people
knew how gold was priced "they would be frightened."
The Depression's persistence, partly a result of such policy flippancy, was frightening. In
1937, during the depression within the Depression, there occurred the steepest drop in
industrial production ever recorded. By January 1938 the unemployment rate was back up to
17.4 percent. The war, not the New Deal, defeated the Depression. Franklin Roosevelt's
success was in altering the practice of American politics.
This transformation was actually assisted by the misguided policies — including
government-created uncertainties that paralyzed investors — that prolonged the Depression.
This seemed to validate the notion that the crisis was permanent, so government must be
forever hyperactive.
In his second inaugural address, Roosevelt sought "unimagined power" to enforce the
"proper subordination" of private power to public power. He got it, and the fact that the federal
government he created now seems utterly unexceptional suggests a need for what Amity
Shlaes does in a new book. She takes thorough exception to the government he created.
Republicans had long practiced limited interest-group politics on behalf of business with
tariffs, gifts of land to railroads and other corporate welfare. Roosevelt, however, made
interest-group politics systematic and routine. New Deal policies were calculated to create
many constituencies — labor, retirees, farmers, union members — to be dependent on
government.
Before the 1930s, the adjective "liberal" denoted policies of individualism and individual
rights; since Roosevelt, it has primarily pertained to the politics of group interests. So writes
Shlaes, a columnist for Bloomberg News, in "The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great
Depression" She says Roosevelt's wager was that, by furiously using legislation and
regulations to multiply federally favored groups, and by rhetorically pitting those favored by
government against the unfavored, he could create a permanent majority coalition.
In the process, says Shlaes, Roosevelt refined his definition of the "forgotten man." This
man had been thought of as a general personality, compatible with the assumption that
Americans were all in it together. "Now, by defining his forgotten man as the specific groups
he would help, the president was in effect forgetting the rest — creating a new forgotten
man. The country was splitting into those who were Roosevelt's favorites and everyone else."
Acting with what Shlaes calls "the restlessness of the invalid," Roosevelt implemented the
theory that (in her words) "spending promoted growth, if government was big enough to
spend enough." In only 12 months, just one Roosevelt improvisation, the National Recovery
Administration, "generated more paper than the entire legislative output of the federal
government since 1789."
Before Roosevelt, the federal government was unimpressive relative to the private sector.
Under Calvin Coolidge, the last pre-Depression president, its revenue averaged 4 percent of
gross domestic product, compared with 18.6 percent today. In 1910, Congress legislated
height limits for Washington buildings, limits that prevented skyscrapers, symbols of mighty
business, from overshadowing the Capitol, the symbol of government.
In 1936, for the first time in peacetime history, federal spending exceeded that of the states
and localities combined. Roosevelt said that modern "civilization" has tended "to make life
insecure." Hence Social Security, which had the added purpose of encouraging workers to
retire, thereby opening jobs to younger people. Notice the assumptions of permanent
scarcity, and that the government has a duty to distribute scarce things, such as work.
In 1938, when the New Deal's failure to spark recovery made Roosevelt increasingly frantic,
he attempted to enlarge the Supreme Court so he could pack it with compliant justices. He
said Americans had the right to "insist that every agency of popular government" respond to
"their will." He included the court among "popular," meaning political and representative,
institutions.
Roosevelt's overreaching called forth an opponent whom Shlaes rescues from obscurity.
Wendell Willkie, who would be Roosevelt's opponent in a 1940 election overshadowed by
war, called on Roosevelt to "give up this vested interest you have in depression" as the
justification for a "philosophy of distributed scarcity."
War, as has been said — and as George W. Bush's assertion of vast presidential powers
attests — is the health of the state. But as Roosevelt demonstrated and Shlaes reminds us,
compassion, understood as making the "insecure" securely dependent, also makes the
state flourish.